
Professor, Keio University Faculty of Business and Commerce
Tatsuo Ushijima
Management Strategy, Corporate Finance
Assumed current post in 2015, after serving as a Research Fellow of the Mitsubishi Research Institute and a Professor in the Aoyama Gakuin University Graduate School of International Management. Holds a Ph.D. in Management. Main publications include Corporate Strategy and Organization Design (2022) and papers in journals including Financial Management, Journal of Banking & Finance, Research Policy、Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, and Journal of Economics and Business.
Research on corporate diversification and its performance effect
Professor, Keio University Faculty of Business and Commerce Tatsuo Ushijima
Research domains and objectives
My main area of study is corporate diversification in Japan. Corporate diversification refers to an organization having multiple businesses, and a company engaging in diversification is called a diversified firm (or a conglomerate). Large enterprises are often pursuing diversification aggressively, and it is not uncommon for a single firm to engage in a wide range of businesses.
Benefits of diversification include increasing opportunities for growth and utilizing resources. On the other hand, diversification makes a company's organization larger and more complex. Developing and executing strategies is easier when concentrating on a single business. Accordingly, diversification does not necessarily lead to improved performance. My research aims to analyze the relationship between diversification by Japanese firms and their performance (particularly their market value) and to elucidate issues involved in advancing diversification. One of the results of this research is Ushijima (2016), which analyzed the phenomenon known as a conglomerate discount. Including the run-up period, this work took nearly a decade to complete, so let me introduce its background here.
Inspired by downturns at Japanese firms
I took an interest in corporate diversification while working at a private thinktank after completing my master's degree. At that time, numerous Japanese firms were experiencing lingering downturns in business performance due to the collapse of the "Bubble" economy in the early 1990s. In thinking about the reasons for this poor performance, the failure of diversification management came to my mind as one possible cause. This was because many firms appeared to suffer from worsening problems as they failed to take remedial actions such as withdrawal from unsuccessful businesses launched previously. Against this background, I joined an American business school to study management strategy.
I made an important discovery in the United States: the phenomenon known as the conglomerate discount, which was unfamiliar in Japan, was attracting attention. In addition, the analysis of this phenomenon was led by researchers in the field of finance. This led me to study management with a strong attention to finance (particularly corporate finance). I also discovered something unfortunate: since the disclosure of business-segment information, which was essential for this type of research, had only just begun in Japan, it was difficult to study Japanese conglomerates at the same level as leading-edge studies in the United States. However, there was good data on internationalization, which makes corporate organizations complex in a manner similar to that of diversification. Accordingly, in my doctoral thesis, I analyzed the relationship between the internationalization of Japanese firms and their market value.
Beginning to study diversification
These data limitations remained unresolved even when I returned to Japan in 2003. Japanese firms began to disclose segmental information in 2000, but at least 10 years' data were necessary in order to conduct full-fledged research on the subject. Until the data could be accumulated, I advanced my research in two ways.
The first was analysis not based on segmental information. The lack of segmental data did not mean that Japanese firms had not been diversified, or to research had not been conducted on the subject, prior to 2000. For example, Yoshihara et al (1981) had carefully ascertained the degrees and types of diversification at 118 large firms and analyzed their performance consequences. Accordingly, in collaboration with Prof. Yoshitaka Fukui of Aoyama Gakuin University, I carried out a succeeding analysis of that study, by extending the study period and updating the methods (Fukui and Ushijima, 2007). While it was painstaking work, this study helped to build the foundations for my subsequent research.
The second was research on restructuring. For example, Ushijima (2010) focused on “jigyo togo”, which refers to companies engaged in the same business consolidating their businesses in joint ventures. It's a form of restructuring also known as a partial merger. In studying this area, I made numerous interesting findings. For instance, companies engaged in partial mergers had much higher degrees of diversification than those engaged in the total merger of their organizations.
Testing the conglomerate discount
While I was involved in such studies, sufficiently large volume of data became available to estimate the conglomerate discount. This phenomenon refers to the tendency for the value (market capitalization plus debt) of a diversified firm to be lower than that of a specialized firm in the same industry. My estimations showed that in fact there was a clear conglomerate discount on Japanese diversified firms too. However, this result was not enough for a paper that would have international impact because global research had evolved further.
One such evolution concerns interpretation. The conglomerate discount is often seen as a proof that diversification reduces firm value. However, its implication is not so clear. This is due in part to the fact that diversification is a choice by the company (endogeneity). A diversified firm might have lower value than a specialized firm for other reasons, such as a lack of growth opportunities in its existing businesses. If so, then even if diversification itself increases value, the diversified firm could be subject to a discount for those other reasons. Some studies of U.S. firms have shown that the discount disappears when this endogeneity is taken into consideration. However, even when I considered endogeneity in estimation, the discount on Japanese diversified firm persisted.
I also looked at the impact of the organization. From early on in management research, diversification was known to change the corporate organization (Chandler, 1962). If so, then the discount may stem more from the increased complexity of diversified firms’ organization than from their broader business scope. Organization is a factor that is difficult to gauge systematically. However, in Japan, it is relatively easy to measure group structure, which is one aspect of the organizational structure. Since publicly traded firms in Japan disclose information on both their groups as a whole (consolidated information) and on the parent companies individually, it is easy to identify the weight of a firm’s activities organized outside the parent company. This weight tends to be higher in a diversified firm. Accordingly, I took group structure into consideration in estimating the conglomerate discount, but here too the discount remained. It thus appeared that the discount stems from diversification itself to a considerable degree. Ushijima (2016) reports these findings.
Current research topics
The above paper did not conclude my research on the subject. Major themes in my current studies are fluctuations and variation in the value of diversification. The size of the conglomerate discount varies over time. I am analyzing the mechanisms through which this fluctuation arises, with a focus on the roles of capital markets. The value of diversification also varies by firm. Even if a discount is observed at the average of a large number of firms, not a few companies do realize premiums on conglomeration. I am studying the reasons for this inter-firm difference (variance) with particular attention to the properties of a firm’s business portfolio. Although neither of these is a simple subject, I hope my studies will contribute in some way to better management of diversified firms.
References
Yoshihara, H, T. Sakuma, T. Inami, T. Kagono., 1981. Diversification strategy of Japanese firms: A management resources approach, Nihon Keizai Shimbun.
Chandler, A.D., 1962. Strategy and Structure: Chapters in the History of the Industrial Enterprise, MIT Press.
Fukui, Y., Ushijima, T., 2007. Corporate diversification, performance, and restructuring in the largest Japanese manufacturers, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 21, 303-323.
Ushijima, T., 2010. Understanding partial mergers in Japan, Journal of Banking & Finance 34, 2941-2953.
Ushijima, T., 2016. Diversification, organization, and value of the firm, Financial Management 45, 467-499.